000			02102n a2200277#a 4500
001			39101
003			P5A
005			20221213140622.0
007			cr cuuuuuauuuu
008			190702s2019 bl por d
035			_aocm51338542
040			_aP5A _cP5A
082	0	4	_acs
090			_acs
100	1		_aCascon, A. _u(Omega Analysis Limited) _920440
245	1	0	_aStatistical Indicators of Asset Price Bubbles and the 'Everything Bubble'.
260			_aRio de Janeiro: _bIMPA, _c2019.
300			_avideo online
500			_aPalestra Especial
505	2		_aAbstract: Everyone knows that asset price bubbles exist. The history of financial markets is full of them, from the 17th Century Tulip Bubble to the 21st Century 'Credit Bubble' The critical issue for traders, long term investors and central banks is the extent to which bubbles can be recognised before they burst. Our approach to this, initiated at the request of a G7 Central Bank, has identified statistical markers that have had high predictive power historically both in identifying bubbles and in quantifying the level to which they will subsequently correct. It also identifies 'anti-bubbles' of panic selling and corresponding correction levels. Ten years of unprecedented monetary intervention by the world's Central Banks has produced bubbles in assets of all sorts. The extent of the coming corrections and the timing of the bubble deflation vary greatly across regions, countries and asset class sectors. Some have already burst producing anti-bubbles of panic selling while others are still inflating. This produces a range of opportunities and challenges for market participants and policy makers .
650	0	4	_aMatematica. _2larpcal _919899
697			_aCongressos e Seminários. _923755
700	1		_aShadwick, W. F., _d1951- _u(Omega Analysis Limited) _945814
856	4		_zVIDEO _uhttp://bit.ly/2WqTdEX
942			_2ddc _cBK
999			_aSTATISTICAL Indicators of Asset Price Bubbles and the 'Everything Bubble'. Rio de Janeiro: IMPA, 2019. video online. Disponível em: <http://bit.ly/2WqTdEX>. Acesso em: 1 jul. 2019. _c37654 _d37654